Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001536 0.001621 0.001707 0.001803 0.001907 0.002015 0.002137
2025-06-01 0.001391 0.001510 0.001637 0.001783 0.001947 0.002126 0.002338
2025-06-08 0.001305 0.001447 0.001604 0.001790 0.002006 0.002251 0.002550
2025-06-15 0.001225 0.001383 0.001560 0.001776 0.002033 0.002333 0.002712
2025-06-22 0.001166 0.001335 0.001529 0.001770 0.002065 0.002417 0.002876
2025-06-29 0.001108 0.001285 0.001491 0.001752 0.002078 0.002477 0.003009
2025-07-06 0.001058 0.001239 0.001455 0.001732 0.002085 0.002525 0.003128
2025-07-13 0.001001 0.001183 0.001402 0.001689 0.002058 0.002528 0.003185
2025-07-20 0.000972 0.001161 0.001390 0.001693 0.002092 0.002609 0.003348
2025-07-27 0.000949 0.001143 0.001382 0.001703 0.002132 0.002698 0.003526
2025-08-03 0.000932 0.001133 0.001383 0.001724 0.002187 0.002810 0.003740
2025-08-10 0.000907 0.001110 0.001366 0.001720 0.002206 0.002872 0.003886
2025-08-17 0.000870 0.001074 0.001332 0.001694 0.002198 0.002900 0.003991
2025-08-24 0.000841 0.001045 0.001308 0.001680 0.002206 0.002951 0.004134
2025-08-31 0.000822 0.001030 0.001300 0.001687 0.002245 0.003048 0.004354
2025-09-07 0.000797 0.001005 0.001278 0.001674 0.002252 0.003099 0.004503
2025-09-14 0.000776 0.000985 0.001263 0.001669 0.002270 0.003166 0.004683
2025-09-21 0.000753 0.000961 0.001240 0.001653 0.002271 0.003205 0.004817
2025-09-28 0.000730 0.000937 0.001217 0.001634 0.002267 0.003236 0.004940
2025-10-05 0.000701 0.000904 0.001180 0.001594 0.002227 0.003209 0.004960
2025-10-12 0.000688 0.000893 0.001173 0.001598 0.002257 0.003293 0.005180
2025-10-19 0.000678 0.000884 0.001170 0.001607 0.002293 0.003391 0.005431
2025-10-26 0.000671 0.000881 0.001173 0.001627 0.002348 0.003520 0.005751